Jablonec 3-1 Banik Ostrava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 27% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jablonec EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.06/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.34
+2% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
237 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
20.8 Crosses 17.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jablonec
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Banik Ostrava
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.77 xG 1.11
47% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
314 Passes 237
73% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.07.2024 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-0 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
07.04.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 2-3 HT 1-2 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
28.10.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 0-1 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
14.05.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
11.02.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-2 HT 0-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
27.08.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 0-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jablonec
3-1
AWAY Banik Ostrava
2.30 xG 2.23
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
196 Passes 451
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 37
18 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jablonec vs Banik Ostrava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec beat Banik Ostrava 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Jablonec made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Jablonec had 35% of the ball to Banik Ostrava's 65%, shots finished 11-23, expected goals 2.30 to 2.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Jablonec and 1.17 for Banik Ostrava.

What was the final score of Jablonec vs Banik Ostrava?

Jablonec 3-1 Banik Ostrava in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jablonec vs Banik Ostrava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Jablonec 37%, draw 28%, Banik Ostrava 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jablonec), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jablonec) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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