Montrose 2-1 Annan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.89
6+ Goals
12%
17.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.89 — our 24% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montrose EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Annan Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
+10% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.78/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.33
+15% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
138 · 93% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 115 · 91%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 1.0
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montrose
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Annan Athletic
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
0 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2024 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
16.03.2024 Montrose Montrose 1-1 HT 0-1 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
06.01.2024 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 2-2 HT 1-1 Montrose Montrose İK1
11.11.2023 Montrose Montrose 1-1 HT 0-1 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
12.08.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-3 HT 0-3 Montrose Montrose İK1
27.11.2018 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 3-4 HT 0-4 Montrose Montrose İKK
POST-MATCH Montrose vs Annan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montrose edged past Annan Athletic 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Montrose as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montrose had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Montrose and 1.50 for Annan Athletic.

What was the final score of Montrose vs Annan Athletic?

Montrose 2-1 Annan Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montrose vs Annan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montrose win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Montrose 44%, draw 27%, Annan Athletic 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montrose), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Montrose) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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