Annan Athletic 1-0 Montrose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.56
6+ Goals
9%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 30% vs market 24.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.0pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annan Athletic EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Montrose EU Bookmakers 38%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
2.10/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.37
+32% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +11%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annan Athletic
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Montrose
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
16.03.2024 Montrose Montrose 1-1 HT 0-1 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
06.01.2024 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 2-2 HT 1-1 Montrose Montrose İK1
11.11.2023 Montrose Montrose 1-1 HT 0-1 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
12.08.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-3 HT 0-3 Montrose Montrose İK1
27.11.2018 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 3-4 HT 0-4 Montrose Montrose İKK
24.11.2018 Montrose Montrose 0-0 HT 0-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Annan Athletic
1-0
AWAY Montrose
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 0
3 Crosses 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Annan Athletic vs Montrose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annan Athletic nicked a narrow win over Montrose 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Annan Athletic as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Annan Athletic had 50% of the ball to Montrose's 50%, shots finished 10-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montrose led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Annan Athletic and 1.83 for Montrose.

What was the final score of Annan Athletic vs Montrose?

Annan Athletic 1-0 Montrose in the Scotland - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annan Athletic vs Montrose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Annan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Annan Athletic 42%, draw 24%, Montrose 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Annan Athletic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Annan Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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