Arbroath 1-0 Inverness CT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
29%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.75
Over 2.5
38%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
3.9
6+ Goals
7%
17.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 37% vs market 27.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.2pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.0pp
28%
Away Win
35%
-6.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
53%
+9.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
47%
-9.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.9pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arbroath EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.13/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.01
-27% / +136% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +51%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.0 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arbroath
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Inverness CT
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
23.07.2024 Inverness CT Inverness CT 0-0 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKLK
24.02.2024 Arbroath Arbroath 1-1 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
16.12.2023 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-2 HT 1-2 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
30.09.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 2-3 HT 0-2 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
09.09.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 4-2 HT 2-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCK
11.04.2023 Inverness CT Inverness CT 2-0 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arbroath
1-0
AWAY Inverness CT
53% Ball Possession 47%
4 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
3 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arbroath vs Inverness CT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arbroath edged past Inverness CT 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 33% / 28% — and on the day Arbroath made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Arbroath had 53% of the ball to Inverness CT's 47%, shots finished 4-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arbroath and 1.50 for Inverness CT.

What was the final score of Arbroath vs Inverness CT?

Arbroath 1-0 Inverness CT in the Scotland - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arbroath vs Inverness CT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arbroath win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Arbroath 38%, draw 33%, Inverness CT 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arbroath), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arbroath) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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