Alloa Athletic 0-2 Cove Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

Alloa Athletic
0-2 HT 0-2
Cove Rangers
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.61
No
57%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
4.15
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.56
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.15 — our 33% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.0pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
58%
-14.4pp
57%
BTTS No
42%
+14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alloa Athletic v Cove Rangers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Cove Rangers EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.25/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.46
-26% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
172 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 176 · 90%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
5.0 Crosses 3.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0

Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alloa Athletic
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cove Rangers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
The Meetings
20.04.2024 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 2-3 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
17.02.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 4-1 HT 1-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
16.12.2023 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 1-2 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
02.09.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
16.04.2022 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 3-0 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
26.02.2022 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-2 HT 2-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1

Alloa Athletic 0-2 Cove Rangers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alloa Athletic
0-2
AWAY Cove Rangers
47% Ball Possession 53%
1 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
1 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cove Rangers saw off Alloa Athletic 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Alloa Athletic at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alloa Athletic had 47% of the ball to Cove Rangers's 53%, shots finished 1-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Alloa Athletic and 1.50 for Cove Rangers.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers?

Alloa Athletic 0-2 Cove Rangers in the Scotland - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 47%, draw 24%, Cove Rangers 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alloa Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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