Dumbarton vs Stenhousemuir Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dumbarton v Stenhousemuir — Team-Based Signals
Dumbarton vs Stenhousemuir Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Stenhousemuir
İK2
2-4
HT 0-4
Dumbarton
İK2
1-2
HT 1-0
Stenhousemuir
İK2
1-0
HT 1-0
Stenhousemuir
İK2
Dumbarton 1-3 Stenhousemuir — Actual Match Statistics
Stenhousemuir got the better of Dumbarton 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was Dumbarton at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Dumbarton had 49% of the ball to Stenhousemuir's 51%, shots finished 7-20.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stenhousemuir led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dumbarton and 1.00 for Stenhousemuir.
What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Stenhousemuir?
Dumbarton 1-3 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Stenhousemuir?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 43%, draw 27%, Stenhousemuir 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.