Penya Encarnada vs Pas de la Casa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Penya Encarnada v Pas de la Casa — Team-Based Signals
Penya Encarnada vs Pas de la Casa Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Pas de la Casa
AND
Penya Encarnada 1-0 Pas de la Casa — Actual Match Statistics
Penya Encarnada squeezed past Pas de la Casa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Pas de la Casa at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Penya Encarnada had 53% of the ball to Pas de la Casa's 47%, shots finished 11-18.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Penya Encarnada had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Penya Encarnada and 0.67 for Pas de la Casa.
What was the final score of Penya Encarnada vs Pas de la Casa?
Penya Encarnada 1-0 Pas de la Casa in the Andorra - 1st Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Penya Encarnada vs Pas de la Casa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Pas de la Casa win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Penya Encarnada 18%, draw 18%, Pas de la Casa 64%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Pas de la Casa), Over 2.5 went the other way.