Reims vs Lyon Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Reims v Lyon — Team-Based Signals
Reims vs Lyon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Lyon
FR1
3-0
HT 2-0
Reims
FR1
1-1
HT 1-0
Lyon
FR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Lyon
FR1
1-2
HT 0-0
Reims
FR1
Reims 1-1 Lyon — Actual Match Statistics
Reims and Lyon shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Lyon at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Reims had 40% of the ball to Lyon's 60%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.01 to 1.70.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reims had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Reims and 1.00 for Lyon.
What was the final score of Reims vs Lyon?
Reims 1-1 Lyon in the France - Ligue 1 on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Reims vs Lyon?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Reims 34%, draw 25%, Lyon 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lyon), Over 2.5 went the other way.