Guingamp (K) 1-4 Stade de Reims (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+4.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
48%
Away Win
54%
-5.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.1pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade de Reims (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.43/2.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/1.03
+48% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +48%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
13.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
13.2 Crosses 18.0
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Stade de Reims (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
2 Total Shots 1
0 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 9
59 Passes 45
66% Pass Accuracy 71%
3 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
20.01.2024 Stade de Reims (K) Stade de Reims (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Guingamp (K) Guingamp (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp (K)
1-4
AWAY Stade de Reims (K)
0.62 xG 1.25
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 0
306 Passes 193
72% Pass Accuracy 67%
10 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guingamp (K) vs Stade de Reims (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade de Reims (K) swept aside Guingamp (K) 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stade de Reims (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Guingamp (K) had 60% of the ball to Stade de Reims (K)'s 40%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.62 to 1.25.

What was the final score of Guingamp (K) vs Stade de Reims (K)?

Guingamp (K) 1-4 Stade de Reims (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp (K) vs Stade de Reims (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stade de Reims (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Guingamp (K) 26%, draw 26%, Stade de Reims (K) 48%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade de Reims (K)) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stade de Reims (K)) ✗ BTTS No
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