Cardiff MU 3-0 Aberystwyth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.49
Draw
29%
4.19
Away
31%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.91
2-3 Goals
36%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.91 — our 28% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
63%
-22.6pp
29%
Draw
21%
+8.0pp
31%
Away Win
16%
+14.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 20%
-10% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +7%
1.64/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.71
-18% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff MU
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Aberystwyth Town
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
24.09.2024 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
02.12.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 4-2 HT 1-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
12.08.2023 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
01.10.2022 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 2-1 HT 2-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
20.09.2022 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 2-2 HT 1-2 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GALLK
20.08.2022 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 0-4 HT 0-3 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
POST-MATCH Cardiff MU vs Aberystwyth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff MU ran out comfortable winners over Aberystwyth Town 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Cardiff MU found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff MU had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Cardiff MU and 1.00 for Aberystwyth Town.

What was the final score of Cardiff MU vs Aberystwyth Town?

Cardiff MU 3-0 Aberystwyth Town in the Wales - Premier League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff MU vs Aberystwyth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff MU win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 40%, draw 29%, Aberystwyth Town 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cardiff MU), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cardiff MU) ✓ Over 2.5
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