The New Saints 3-2 Penybont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 23 Nov 2024

The New Saints
3-2 HT 0-2
Penybont
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2024/2025

The New Saints vs Penybont Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.7pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

The New Saints v Penybont — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The New Saints EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Penybont EU Bookmakers 19%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.69/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.88
-15% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

The New Saints vs Penybont Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The New Saints
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Penybont
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.09.2024 Penybont Penybont 2-1 HT 1-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
16.12.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 3-0 HT 1-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
07.10.2023 Penybont Penybont 1-4 HT 1-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
04.03.2023 Penybont Penybont 0-2 HT 0-2 The New Saints The New Saints GALWK
25.02.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 1-1 HT 1-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
19.11.2022 Penybont Penybont 0-0 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
POST-MATCH The New Saints vs Penybont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints nicked a narrow win over Penybont 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for The New Saints and 0.67 for Penybont.

What was the final score of The New Saints vs Penybont?

The New Saints 3-2 Penybont in the Wales - Premier League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Penybont?

Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 52%, draw 26%, Penybont 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✗ BTTS No
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