Orijent 1919 2-1 HNK Cibalia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.0
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-9.9pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.3pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orijent 1919 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 31%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.16/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.27
-18% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orijent 1919
0W-2D-2L
AWAY HNK Cibalia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-1 HT 0-0 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 HIR2
21.04.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-1 HT 1-0 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 HIR2
24.02.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-0 HT 0-0 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 HIR2
30.09.2023 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 0-3 HT 0-1 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orijent 1919
2-1
AWAY HNK Cibalia
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Orijent 1919 vs HNK Cibalia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orijent 1919 edged past HNK Cibalia 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and on the day Orijent 1919 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orijent 1919 had 44% of the ball to HNK Cibalia's 56%, shots finished 8-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, HNK Cibalia led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Orijent 1919 and 1.50 for HNK Cibalia.

What was the final score of Orijent 1919 vs HNK Cibalia?

Orijent 1919 2-1 HNK Cibalia in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orijent 1919 vs HNK Cibalia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orijent 1919 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Orijent 1919 36%, draw 32%, HNK Cibalia 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orijent 1919), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orijent 1919) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HIR2 More Croatia - 2.HNL
23 Nov 2024
15:30 Bijelo Brdo vs Rudes Analysis →