ACV 0-1 Excelsior Maassluis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.0
Over 2.5
58%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.6pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.5pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
46%
-4.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
54%
+4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ACV EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 29%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.00/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.86
-50% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
267 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ACV
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
16.12.2023 ACV 3-1 HT 1-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ACV
0-1
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
63% Ball Possession 37%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ACV vs Excelsior Maassluis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior Maassluis squeezed past ACV 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was ACV at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ACV had 63% of the ball to Excelsior Maassluis's 37%, shots finished 8-6.

What was the final score of ACV vs Excelsior Maassluis?

ACV 0-1 Excelsior Maassluis in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ACV vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Before kick-off our model rated a ACV win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split ACV 48%, draw 20%, Excelsior Maassluis 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (ACV) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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