Koninklijke HFC 2-1 Jong Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.86
Over 2.5
58%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.75
No
40%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
50%
-7.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
50%
+7.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
53%
+7.2pp
40%
BTTS No
47%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koninklijke HFC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Almere City EU Bookmakers 32%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.36/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.83
-26% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koninklijke HFC
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Jong Almere City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
16.12.2023 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 1-1 HT 0-0 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koninklijke HFC
2-1
AWAY Jong Almere City
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Koninklijke HFC vs Jong Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koninklijke HFC edged past Jong Almere City 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Koninklijke HFC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Koninklijke HFC had 55% of the ball to Jong Almere City's 45%, shots finished 15-7.

What was the final score of Koninklijke HFC vs Jong Almere City?

Koninklijke HFC 2-1 Jong Almere City in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koninklijke HFC vs Jong Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Koninklijke HFC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Koninklijke HFC 45%, draw 27%, Jong Almere City 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Koninklijke HFC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Koninklijke HFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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