AFC Amsterdamsche 2-1 GVVV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.5pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.6pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-5.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY GVVV EU Bookmakers 37%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
2.77/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.39
+67% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
214 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
2W-0D-0L
AWAY GVVV
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.06 xG 1.24
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
325 Passes 334
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 31
24 Crosses 30
0 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 3-1 HT 1-0 GVVV GVVV HOLTW
19.10.2019 GVVV GVVV 1-3 HT 0-1 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
2-1
AWAY GVVV
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Amsterdamsche vs GVVV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Amsterdamsche nicked a narrow win over GVVV 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 28%) promised a tight game; AFC Amsterdamsche found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AFC Amsterdamsche had 37% of the ball to GVVV's 63%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, AFC Amsterdamsche had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for AFC Amsterdamsche and 1.00 for GVVV.

What was the final score of AFC Amsterdamsche vs GVVV?

AFC Amsterdamsche 2-1 GVVV in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Amsterdamsche vs GVVV?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Amsterdamsche win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AFC Amsterdamsche 38%, draw 33%, GVVV 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) ✓ BTTS Yes
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