Katwijk 1-0 HHC Hardenberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.66
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
56%
-13.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.7pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katwijk EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY HHC Hardenberg EU Bookmakers 27%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.83/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/1.34
-4% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +36%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
466 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katwijk
1W-0D-0L
AWAY HHC Hardenberg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
16.12.2023 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 1-2 HT 1-1 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katwijk
1-0
AWAY HHC Hardenberg
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Katwijk vs HHC Hardenberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katwijk squeezed past HHC Hardenberg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Katwijk as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Katwijk had 57% of the ball to HHC Hardenberg's 43%, shots finished 15-5.

What was the final score of Katwijk vs HHC Hardenberg?

Katwijk 1-0 HHC Hardenberg in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katwijk vs HHC Hardenberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Katwijk 42%, draw 25%, HHC Hardenberg 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katwijk) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Katwijk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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