Shams Azar 2-1 Shahin Tehran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Cup, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.58
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
27%
4.68
6+ Goals
5%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
63%
-3.8pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.2pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shams Azar EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Shahin Tehran EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Shams Azar vs Shahin Tehran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shams Azar edged past Shahin Tehran 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shams Azar as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Shams Azar vs Shahin Tehran?

Shams Azar 2-1 Shahin Tehran in the Iran - Cup on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shams Azar vs Shahin Tehran?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shams Azar win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Shams Azar 59%, draw 22%, Shahin Tehran 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shams Azar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shams Azar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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