23/11/2024
·
15:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Shams Azar vs Shahin Tehran Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
63%
22%
Draw
23%
20%
Away Win
14%
55%
Under 2.5
58%
45%
Over 2.5
42%
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
54%
BTTS No
62%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Shams Azar v Shahin Tehran — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Shams Azar
EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
Shahin Tehran
EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
56%
Ball Possession
44%
12
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
3
335 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
247 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Shams Azar vs Shahin Tehran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Shams Azar edged past Shahin Tehran 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Shams Azar as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Shams Azar vs Shahin Tehran?
Shams Azar 2-1 Shahin Tehran in the Iran - Cup on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Shams Azar vs Shahin Tehran?
Before kick-off our model rated a Shams Azar win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Shams Azar 59%, draw 22%, Shahin Tehran 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shams Azar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Shams Azar)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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