MTK Budapest 2-2 Györi ETO — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.71
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 25% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.7pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Györi ETO EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.60/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.72
-11% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
18.7 Crosses 20.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MTK Budapest
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Györi ETO
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.78 xG 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
185 Passes 357
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 22
8 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.08.2024 Györi ETO Györi ETO 1-2 HT 1-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
10.04.2023 Györi ETO Györi ETO 1-2 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC2
09.10.2022 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-1 HT 1-0 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC2
18.04.2015 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-1 HT 1-1 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC
27.09.2014 Györi ETO Györi ETO 1-2 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
29.03.2014 Györi ETO Györi ETO 3-0 HT 1-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MTK Budapest
2-2
AWAY Györi ETO
2.83 xG 2.02
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
316 Passes 286
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 33
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH MTK Budapest vs Györi ETO
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MTK Budapest and Györi ETO shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was MTK Budapest at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, MTK Budapest had 51% of the ball to Györi ETO's 49%, shots finished 17-18, expected goals 2.83 to 2.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for MTK Budapest and 1.33 for Györi ETO.

What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs Györi ETO?

MTK Budapest 2-2 Györi ETO in the Hungary - NB I on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs Györi ETO?

Before kick-off our model rated a MTK Budapest win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 49%, draw 22%, Györi ETO 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (MTK Budapest) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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