MOL Fehervar 0-1 Ujpest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.91
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
4.1
6+ Goals
11%
19.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ujpest EU Bookmakers 34%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -19%
1.74/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.61
+23% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
306 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 82%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
22.5 Crosses 21.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MOL Fehervar
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ujpest
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.34 xG 1.78
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
392 Passes 258
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 4-1 HT 3-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
03.03.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 2-0 HT 0-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
04.11.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 2-1 HT 0-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
29.07.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 2-1 HT 2-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
08.04.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 0-0 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
09.11.2022 Ujpest Ujpest 2-1 HT 1-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MOL Fehervar
0-1
AWAY Ujpest
1.87 xG 1.12
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
299 Passes 383
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH MOL Fehervar vs Ujpest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ujpest nicked a narrow win over MOL Fehervar 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was MOL Fehervar at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, MOL Fehervar had 47% of the ball to Ujpest's 53%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.87 to 1.12 — on chances, MOL Fehervar could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ujpest led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for MOL Fehervar and 1.83 for Ujpest.

What was the final score of MOL Fehervar vs Ujpest?

MOL Fehervar 0-1 Ujpest in the Hungary - NB I on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MOL Fehervar vs Ujpest?

Before kick-off our model rated a MOL Fehervar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split MOL Fehervar 44%, draw 26%, Ujpest 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (MOL Fehervar) ✗ Over 2.5
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