Lech Poznan 2-0 Katowice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 23 Nov 2024

Lech Poznan
2-0 HT 1-0
Katowice
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Lech Poznan vs Katowice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.97
2-3 Goals
36%
1.96
4-5 Goals
28%
2.82
6+ Goals
15%
7.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.74
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
4%
17.8
X/1
19%
3.77
X/2
7%
13.85
X/X
10%
7.04
2/1
5%
20.8
2/2
7%
10.1
2/X
6%
18.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-6.2pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.6pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lech Poznan v Katowice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lech Poznan EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Katowice EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.90/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.44
+5% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +144% / -42%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
445 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
23.4 Crosses 11.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Lech Poznan 2-0 Katowice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lech Poznan
2-0
AWAY Katowice
2.65 xG 0.83
61% Ball Possession 39%
26 Total Shots 16
13 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
506 Passes 294
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
43 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lech Poznan vs Katowice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lech Poznan saw off Katowice 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lech Poznan as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lech Poznan had 61% of the ball to Katowice's 39%, shots finished 26-16, expected goals 2.65 to 0.83.

What was the final score of Lech Poznan vs Katowice?

Lech Poznan 2-0 Katowice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lech Poznan vs Katowice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Lech Poznan 59%, draw 20%, Katowice 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lech Poznan) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lech Poznan) ✗ Over 2.5
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