Skalica 1-2 Podbrezova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 28% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+6.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.4pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skalica EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Podbrezova EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.15/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.33
-38% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 71%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
23.5 Crosses 13.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skalica
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Podbrezova
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.24 xG 1.73
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
287 Passes 338
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.08.2024 Podbrezova Podbrezova 7-1 HT 3-0 Skalica Skalica SLVK
15.12.2023 Skalica Skalica 3-0 HT 2-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
15.09.2023 Podbrezova Podbrezova 1-0 HT 0-0 Skalica Skalica SLVK
29.10.2022 Podbrezova Podbrezova 0-2 HT 0-1 Skalica Skalica SLVK
12.08.2022 Skalica Skalica 1-1 HT 0-1 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
05.03.2022 Skalica Skalica 0-2 HT 0-1 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Skalica
1-2
AWAY Podbrezova
1.36 xG 1.15
51% Ball Possession 49%
22 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
269 Passes 272
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
35 Box Touches 19
29 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Skalica vs Podbrezova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Podbrezova squeezed past Skalica 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Podbrezova made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Skalica had 51% of the ball to Podbrezova's 49%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 1.36 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Podbrezova led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Skalica and 1.83 for Podbrezova.

What was the final score of Skalica vs Podbrezova?

Skalica 1-2 Podbrezova in the Slovakia Super League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skalica vs Podbrezova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Podbrezova win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Skalica 34%, draw 26%, Podbrezova 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Podbrezova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Podbrezova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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