Zilina 3-1 Spartak Trnava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.76
6+ Goals
11%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 26% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zilina EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.58/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.09
+17% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
15.0 Crosses 18.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zilina
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Spartak Trnava
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.17 xG 1.20
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
389 Passes 297
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 0-0 HT 0-0 Zilina Zilina SLVK
27.04.2024 Zilina Zilina 2-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
31.03.2024 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-0 HT 1-0 Zilina Zilina SLVK
08.12.2023 Zilina Zilina 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
03.09.2023 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 0-2 HT 0-0 Zilina Zilina SLVK
15.04.2023 Zilina Zilina 1-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zilina
3-1
AWAY Spartak Trnava
1.29 xG 0.63
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
261 Passes 248
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zilina vs Spartak Trnava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zilina saw off Spartak Trnava 3-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zilina as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Zilina had 50% of the ball to Spartak Trnava's 50%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.29 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zilina had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zilina and 0.33 for Spartak Trnava.

What was the final score of Zilina vs Spartak Trnava?

Zilina 3-1 Spartak Trnava in the Slovakia Super League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zilina vs Spartak Trnava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zilina win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Zilina 44%, draw 27%, Spartak Trnava 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zilina) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zilina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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