Elche 2-2 Real Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 23 Nov 2025

Elche
2-2 HT 0-0
Real Madrid
📅23/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2025/2026

Elche vs Real Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.34
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
63%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
24%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
16%
+0.7pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.3pp
63%
Away Win
64%
-1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elche v Real Madrid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elche EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid EU Bookmakers 69%
+7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +10%
1.01/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.10
+2% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +24%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
259 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 87%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.6
21.8 Crosses 15.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Elche vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elche
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Real Madrid
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.80 xG 2.19
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
325 Passes 621
82% Pass Accuracy 90%
13 Box Touches 45
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.02.2023 Real Madrid Real Madrid 4-0 HT 3-0 Elche Elche İS1
19.10.2022 Elche Elche 0-3 HT 0-1 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
23.01.2022 Real Madrid Real Madrid 2-2 HT 0-1 Elche Elche İS1
20.01.2022 Elche Elche 1-2 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İSPK
30.10.2021 Elche Elche 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
13.03.2021 Real Madrid Real Madrid 2-1 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS1

Elche 2-2 Real Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elche
2-2
AWAY Real Madrid
1.44 xG 3.49
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
406 Passes 440
86% Pass Accuracy 90%
27 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Elche vs Real Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elche and Real Madrid couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Real Madrid at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Elche had 49% of the ball to Real Madrid's 51%, shots finished 15-20, expected goals 1.44 to 3.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Elche and 2.50 for Real Madrid.

What was the final score of Elche vs Real Madrid?

Elche 2-2 Real Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elche vs Real Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Elche 16%, draw 20%, Real Madrid 63%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Madrid), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS1 More Spain - Primera Liga
23 Nov 2025
16:00 Real Oviedo vs Rayo Vallecano Analysis →
18:15 Real Betis vs Girona Analysis →
20:30 Getafe vs Atletico Madrid Analysis →