Real Betis 1-1 Girona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.7
2-3 Goals
35%
1.93
4-5 Goals
31%
2.77
6+ Goals
12%
7.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.86
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.75
X/1
21%
4.2
X/2
7%
12.0
X/X
8%
6.78
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
20.0
2/2
13%
9.12
2/X
5%
17.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.0 — our 13% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
-5.2pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.8pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Betis EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Girona EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -6%
1.71/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.99
-12% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
430 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
16.8 Crosses 12.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Betis
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Girona
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.58 xG 1.56
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
358 Passes 481
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
27 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2025 Girona Girona 1-3 HT 0-3 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
15.08.2024 Real Betis Real Betis 1-1 HT 1-0 Girona Girona İS1
31.03.2024 Girona Girona 3-2 HT 1-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
21.12.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 1-1 HT 0-1 Girona Girona İS1
28.05.2023 Girona Girona 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
18.09.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 2-1 HT 1-1 Girona Girona İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Betis
1-1
AWAY Girona
1.42 xG 1.78
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 0
454 Passes 399
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
32 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Betis vs Girona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis and Girona couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Real Betis at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Real Betis had 54% of the ball to Girona's 46%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 1.42 to 1.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Betis had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Real Betis and 1.33 for Girona.

What was the final score of Real Betis vs Girona?

Real Betis 1-1 Girona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Betis vs Girona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Betis win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Real Betis 57%, draw 19%, Girona 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Betis), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Betis) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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