Real Oviedo 0-0 Rayo Vallecano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 23 Nov 2025

Real Oviedo
0-0 HT 0-0
Rayo Vallecano
📅23/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2025/2026

Real Oviedo vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
48%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.6
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.36
6+ Goals
10%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.37
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
29.5
1/X
5%
14.25
X/1
10%
6.85
X/2
12%
4.83
X/X
14%
4.08
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
24%
3.13
2/X
6%
13.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.5 — our 12% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.3pp
48%
Away Win
42%
+5.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.0pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Oviedo v Rayo Vallecano — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Vallecano EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.75/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.39
-71% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +1%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
256 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 82%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
16.4 Crosses 27.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9

Real Oviedo vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Oviedo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.94 xG 1.01
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
238 Passes 321
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
20.05.2021 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 4-1 HT 3-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
22.10.2020 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS2
09.02.2020 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
01.12.2019 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 2-1 HT 1-1 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS2
12.01.2018 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 2-2 HT 1-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
20.08.2017 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 2-3 HT 1-2 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS2

Real Oviedo 0-0 Rayo Vallecano — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo
0-0
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
0.43 xG 1.74
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
262 Passes 457
80% Pass Accuracy 89%
19 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Oviedo vs Rayo Vallecano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo and Rayo Vallecano fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Rayo Vallecano at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Oviedo had 39% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 61%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.43 to 1.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rayo Vallecano led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Oviedo and 1.83 for Rayo Vallecano.

What was the final score of Real Oviedo vs Rayo Vallecano?

Real Oviedo 0-0 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Primera Liga on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Oviedo vs Rayo Vallecano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rayo Vallecano win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo 27%, draw 25%, Rayo Vallecano 48%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rayo Vallecano), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rayo Vallecano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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