Alcorcon 1-0 Tarazona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.71
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.3pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tarazona EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.59/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.21
+10% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 191 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 11.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcorcon
1-0
AWAY Tarazona
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Alcorcon vs Tarazona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcorcon edged past Tarazona 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alcorcon as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Alcorcon had 51% of the ball to Tarazona's 49%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Alcorcon vs Tarazona?

Alcorcon 1-0 Tarazona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcorcon vs Tarazona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcorcon win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 47%, draw 26%, Tarazona 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alcorcon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alcorcon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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