Barakaldo 2-1 Racing Ferrol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.95
6+ Goals
8%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-5.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.4pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +7%
1.24/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.80
-2% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +44%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barakaldo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Racing Ferrol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.36 xG 0.53
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
216 Passes 223
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 9
28 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 3
05.12.2024 Barakaldo Barakaldo 1-2 HT 1-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barakaldo
2-1
AWAY Racing Ferrol
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barakaldo vs Racing Ferrol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barakaldo squeezed past Racing Ferrol 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Barakaldo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barakaldo had 55% of the ball to Racing Ferrol's 45%, shots finished 17-2.

What was the final score of Barakaldo vs Racing Ferrol?

Barakaldo 2-1 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barakaldo vs Racing Ferrol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Ferrol win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Barakaldo 34%, draw 30%, Racing Ferrol 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Racing Ferrol), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Ferrol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
23 Nov 2025
14:00 Celta Vigo II vs Ponferradina Analysis →
14:00 Algeciras vs Atletico Sanluqueno Analysis →
14:00 Alcorcon vs Tarazona Analysis →
18:00 Zamora CF vs Talavera CF Analysis →
20:15 Cartagena vs Eldense Analysis →
20:30 Cacereno vs Osasuna II Analysis →