Barakaldo vs Racing Ferrol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Barakaldo v Racing Ferrol — Team-Based Signals
Barakaldo 1-2 Racing Ferrol — Actual Match Statistics
Racing Ferrol squeezed past Barakaldo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Racing Ferrol made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Barakaldo had 50% of the ball to Racing Ferrol's 50%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.36 to 0.53 — the balance of chances actually favoured Barakaldo.
What was the final score of Barakaldo vs Racing Ferrol?
Barakaldo 1-2 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Barakaldo vs Racing Ferrol?
Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Ferrol win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Barakaldo 33%, draw 28%, Racing Ferrol 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Ferrol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.