Ponferradina vs CD Castellon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ponferradina v CD Castellon — Team-Based Signals
Ponferradina vs CD Castellon Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Ponferradina
İS2
1-2
HT 1-1
CD Castellon
İS2
4-0
HT 1-0
Ponferradina
İS2
1-0
HT 0-0
CD Castellon
İS2
Ponferradina 1-1 CD Castellon — Actual Match Statistics
Ponferradina and CD Castellon couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 35% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Ponferradina had 46% of the ball to CD Castellon's 54%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 1.16 to 0.91.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ponferradina and 1.50 for CD Castellon.
What was the final score of Ponferradina vs CD Castellon?
Ponferradina 1-1 CD Castellon in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs CD Castellon?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 32%, draw 35%, CD Castellon 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.