Marbella vs Burgos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marbella v Burgos — Team-Based Signals
Marbella 1-0 Burgos — Actual Match Statistics
Marbella edged past Burgos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Burgos at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Marbella had 44% of the ball to Burgos's 56%, shots finished 7-4, expected goals 0.95 to 0.19.
What was the final score of Marbella vs Burgos?
Marbella 1-0 Burgos in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marbella vs Burgos?
Before kick-off our model rated an Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Marbella 31%, draw 28%, Burgos 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Burgos) went the other way.