Celta Vigo II 2-0 Ponferradina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.03
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.79
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.4pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.5pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.9pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +1%
1.35/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.14
+23% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses 9.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo II
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Ponferradina
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 1-1 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
05.10.2024 Ponferradina Ponferradina 2-1 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
09.03.2024 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 0-0 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
27.08.2023 Ponferradina Ponferradina 2-1 HT 2-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo II
2-0
AWAY Ponferradina
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo II vs Ponferradina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo II saw off Ponferradina 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Celta Vigo II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Celta Vigo II had 57% of the ball to Ponferradina's 43%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ponferradina led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Celta Vigo II and 1.25 for Ponferradina.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo II vs Ponferradina?

Celta Vigo II 2-0 Ponferradina in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo II vs Ponferradina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo II 42%, draw 28%, Ponferradina 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celta Vigo II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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