Celta Vigo II 1-1 Ponferradina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.35
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.52
6+ Goals
8%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+4.4pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.1pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +1%
1.35/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.14
+15% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +54%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses 9.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo II
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Ponferradina
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Ponferradina Ponferradina 2-1 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
09.03.2024 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 0-0 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
27.08.2023 Ponferradina Ponferradina 2-1 HT 2-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo II
1-1
AWAY Ponferradina
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo II vs Ponferradina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo II and Ponferradina shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Celta Vigo II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Celta Vigo II had 61% of the ball to Ponferradina's 39%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ponferradina led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Celta Vigo II and 1.33 for Ponferradina.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo II vs Ponferradina?

Celta Vigo II 1-1 Ponferradina in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo II vs Ponferradina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo II 43%, draw 30%, Ponferradina 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Celta Vigo II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celta Vigo II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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