Cremonese 1-3 Roma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
57%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.67
Over 2.5
53%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.64
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
4.28
6+ Goals
9%
21.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
8.57
1/2 EV+ ✗
13%
27.5
1/X
9%
17.2
X/1
5%
9.77
X/2
11%
4.08
X/X
10%
4.47
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
33%
2.27
2/X
7%
15.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 13% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
19%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
57%
Away Win
55%
+2.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.4pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cremonese EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma EU Bookmakers 58%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.07/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/0.94
-24% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +4%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
269 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 83%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.2
18.1 Crosses 18.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cremonese
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Roma
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.96 xG 2.42
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
270 Passes 429
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.01.2024 Roma Roma 2-1 HT 0-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTK
28.02.2023 Cremonese Cremonese 2-1 HT 1-0 Roma Roma İTA
01.02.2023 Roma Roma 1-2 HT 0-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTK
22.08.2022 Roma Roma 1-0 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cremonese
1-3
AWAY Roma
0.88 xG 1.90
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
342 Passes 348
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cremonese vs Roma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma beat Cremonese 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Roma as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cremonese had 50% of the ball to Roma's 50%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.88 to 1.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Cremonese and 1.25 for Roma.

What was the final score of Cremonese vs Roma?

Cremonese 1-3 Roma in the Italy - Serie A on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cremonese vs Roma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Cremonese 17%, draw 26%, Roma 57%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Roma) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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