Hellas Verona 1-2 Parma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.77
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.41 — our 36% vs market 34.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
3.11
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
14%
4.85
X/2
8%
7.25
X/X
14%
3.73
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
13%
5.83
2/X
6%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.4pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.6pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hellas Verona EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Parma EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.26/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.38
-14% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
19.2 Crosses 13.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hellas Verona
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Parma
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.20 xG 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
329 Passes 334
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2025 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-0 HT 0-0 Parma Parma İTA
15.12.2024 Parma Parma 2-3 HT 1-1 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
15.02.2021 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-1 HT 1-1 Parma Parma İTA
04.10.2020 Parma Parma 1-0 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
01.07.2020 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 3-2 HT 1-1 Parma Parma İTA
29.10.2019 Parma Parma 0-1 HT 0-1 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hellas Verona
1-2
AWAY Parma
0.63 xG 1.44
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
377 Passes 243
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hellas Verona vs Parma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parma nicked a narrow win over Hellas Verona 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hellas Verona at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hellas Verona had 59% of the ball to Parma's 41%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.63 to 1.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hellas Verona had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hellas Verona and 1.00 for Parma.

What was the final score of Hellas Verona vs Parma?

Hellas Verona 1-2 Parma in the Italy - Serie A on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hellas Verona vs Parma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hellas Verona win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hellas Verona 47%, draw 26%, Parma 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hellas Verona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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