Parma 2-3 Hellas Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 15 Dec 2024

Parma
2-3 HT 1-1
Hellas Verona
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Parma vs Hellas Verona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.53
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
3.21
6+ Goals
11%
11.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.78
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.25
X/1
16%
4.86
X/2
12%
7.69
X/X
8%
4.63
2/1
10%
25.0
2/2
13%
5.37
2/X
9%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Parma v Hellas Verona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parma EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellas Verona EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.62/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.30
-3% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
16.8 Crosses 15.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7

Parma vs Hellas Verona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parma
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Hellas Verona
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.38 xG 1.06
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 Passes 358
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.02.2021 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-1 HT 1-1 Parma Parma İTA
04.10.2020 Parma Parma 1-0 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
01.07.2020 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 3-2 HT 1-1 Parma Parma İTA
29.10.2019 Parma Parma 0-1 HT 0-1 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
24.05.2015 Parma Parma 2-2 HT 2-1 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
11.01.2015 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 3-1 HT 1-0 Parma Parma İTA

Parma 2-3 Hellas Verona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parma
2-3
AWAY Hellas Verona
1.92 xG 2.57
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
378 Passes 291
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Parma vs Hellas Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hellas Verona nicked a narrow win over Parma 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Parma at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Parma had 55% of the ball to Hellas Verona's 45%, shots finished 19-17, expected goals 1.92 to 2.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hellas Verona led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Parma and 1.83 for Hellas Verona.

What was the final score of Parma vs Hellas Verona?

Parma 2-3 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parma vs Hellas Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parma win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Parma 43%, draw 27%, Hellas Verona 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Parma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parma) ✓ BTTS Yes
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