Milan 0-0 Genoa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 15 Dec 2024

Milan
0-0 HT 0-0
Genoa
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Milan vs Genoa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.52
6+ Goals
12%
14.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.97
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.05
X/1
16%
3.66
X/2
7%
11.75
X/X
10%
5.3
2/1
7%
24.7
2/2
8%
9.8
2/X
7%
18.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-2.8pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Milan v Genoa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.82/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.36
+3% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +35%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
422 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
21.1 Crosses 15.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6

Milan vs Genoa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milan
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Genoa
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.47 xG 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
480 Passes 316
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Milan Milan 3-3 HT 1-1 Genoa Genoa İTA
07.10.2023 Genoa Genoa 0-1 HT 0-0 Milan Milan İTA
15.04.2022 Milan Milan 2-0 HT 1-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
13.01.2022 Milan Milan 3-1 HT 0-1 Genoa Genoa İTK
01.12.2021 Genoa Genoa 0-3 HT 0-2 Milan Milan İTA
18.04.2021 Milan Milan 2-1 HT 1-1 Genoa Genoa İTA

Milan 0-0 Genoa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan
0-0
AWAY Genoa
1.11 xG 0.28
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 2
480 Passes 341
91% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 10
34 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Milan vs Genoa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan and Genoa fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Milan carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Milan had 57% of the ball to Genoa's 43%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 1.11 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Milan and 0.83 for Genoa.

What was the final score of Milan vs Genoa?

Milan 0-0 Genoa in the Italy - Serie A on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan vs Genoa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Milan 58%, draw 22%, Genoa 20%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Milan), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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