Bologna vs Fiorentina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bologna v Fiorentina — Team-Based Signals
Bologna vs Fiorentina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Bologna
İTA
1-2
HT 1-1
Bologna
İTA
2-1
HT 0-0
Fiorentina
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Bologna
İTA
Bologna 1-0 Fiorentina — Actual Match Statistics
Bologna nicked a narrow win over Fiorentina 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Bologna found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Bologna had 51% of the ball to Fiorentina's 49%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.20 to 1.02.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bologna and 0.83 for Fiorentina.
What was the final score of Bologna vs Fiorentina?
Bologna 1-0 Fiorentina in the Italy - Serie A on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bologna vs Fiorentina?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bologna 39%, draw 28%, Fiorentina 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bologna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.