Lecce 2-1 Monza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 15 Dec 2024

Lecce
2-1 HT 2-1
Monza
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Lecce vs Monza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
21.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.83
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
12.85
X/1
13%
5.48
X/2
15%
5.84
X/X
12%
3.89
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
13%
4.19
2/X
9%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.3pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lecce v Monza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecce EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Monza EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.23/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.10
-31% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
22.9 Crosses 18.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Lecce vs Monza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecce
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Monza
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.18 xG 0.96
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
232 Passes 373
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.04.2024 Lecce Lecce 1-1 HT 0-0 Monza Monza İTA
17.09.2023 Monza Monza 1-1 HT 1-1 Lecce Lecce İTA
28.05.2023 Monza Monza 0-1 HT 0-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
11.09.2022 Lecce Lecce 1-1 HT 0-1 Monza Monza İTA
27.02.2022 Monza Monza 0-1 HT 0-0 Lecce Lecce İTB
01.10.2021 Lecce Lecce 3-0 HT 1-0 Monza Monza İTB

Lecce 2-1 Monza — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecce
2-1
AWAY Monza
1.46 xG 0.61
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 7
251 Passes 314
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 19
7 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Lecce vs Monza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecce edged past Monza 2-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Lecce found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lecce had 45% of the ball to Monza's 55%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.46 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lecce had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lecce and 0.50 for Monza.

What was the final score of Lecce vs Monza?

Lecce 2-1 Monza in the Italy - Serie A on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecce vs Monza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lecce win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Lecce 36%, draw 30%, Monza 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lecce) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lecce) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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