Como 2-0 Roma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 15 Dec 2024

Como
2-0 HT 0-0
Roma
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.48 — our 26% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.59
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
12%
7.61
X/2
13%
4.64
X/X
11%
4.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.77
2/X
10%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-7.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma EU Bookmakers 50%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.13/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.04
-13% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -13%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 82%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
16.0 Crosses 18.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Roma
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.01.2003 Como Como 2-0 HT 0-0 Roma Roma İTA
06.11.2002 Roma Roma 2-1 HT 1-0 Como Como İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como
2-0
AWAY Roma
1.23 xG 0.34
38% Ball Possession 62%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
259 Passes 448
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 19
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Como vs Roma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como got the better of Roma 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Como made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Como had 38% of the ball to Roma's 62%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.23 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Como and 1.00 for Roma.

What was the final score of Como vs Roma?

Como 2-0 Roma in the Italy - Serie A on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como vs Roma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Como 33%, draw 28%, Roma 39%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roma) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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