Lecco 0-1 Cittadella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
5.21
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-4.5pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+4.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.6pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecco EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Cittadella EU Bookmakers 38%
+14% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.46/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/0.66
+25% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +69%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecco
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Cittadella
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.27 xG 1.23
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
178 Passes 249
58% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.04.2024 Lecco Lecco 1-1 HT 1-1 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
01.10.2023 Cittadella Cittadella 2-1 HT 0-1 Lecco Lecco İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecco
0-1
AWAY Cittadella
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lecco vs Cittadella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cittadella squeezed past Lecco 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 39%) promised a tight game; Cittadella found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lecco had 64% of the ball to Cittadella's 36%, shots finished 20-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cittadella led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lecco and 1.50 for Cittadella.

What was the final score of Lecco vs Cittadella?

Lecco 0-1 Cittadella in the Italy - Serie C on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecco vs Cittadella?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lecco 31%, draw 31%, Cittadella 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cittadella), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cittadella) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
23 Nov 2025
14:30 Trento AC vs Internazionale II Analysis →
14:30 Cavese vs Atalanta II Analysis →
16:30 Novara vs Renate Analysis →
16:30 Union Brescia vs Vicenza Analysis →
16:30 Ternana vs Juventus II Analysis →
16:30 Ascoli vs Arezzo Analysis →