AC Milan (K) 2-2 Sassuolo (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.3pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Milan (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.02/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/2.44
-43% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +92% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
23.4 Crosses 8.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AC Milan (K)
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.49 xG 0.74
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
335 Passes 194
74% Pass Accuracy 62%
32 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2025 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTSKK
01.02.2025 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 2-3 HT 2-1 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
03.11.2024 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
10.02.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
18.01.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 0-3 HT 0-2 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AC Milan (K)
2-2
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
1.21 xG 1.34
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
324 Passes 316
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 13
POST-MATCH AC Milan (K) vs Sassuolo (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Milan (K) and Sassuolo (K) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was AC Milan (K) at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AC Milan (K) had 51% of the ball to Sassuolo (K)'s 49%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.21 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, AC Milan (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for AC Milan (K) and 1.00 for Sassuolo (K).

What was the final score of AC Milan (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

AC Milan (K) 2-2 Sassuolo (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Milan (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a AC Milan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split AC Milan (K) 47%, draw 25%, Sassuolo (K) 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AC Milan (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AC Milan (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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