Juventus (K) 1-0 Fiorentina (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.72
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
54%
+8.1pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.9pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-3.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.3pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus (K) EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.16/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.02
+12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +87% / -31%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
352 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 74%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
17.6 Crosses 16.3
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus (K)
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.51 xG 0.98
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
328 Passes 290
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.04.2025 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 3-1 HT 2-0 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) İTKSA
15.03.2025 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
15.12.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 0-3 HT 0-0 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) İTKSA
30.09.2024 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 4-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
06.05.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) İTKSA
30.03.2024 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus (K)
1-0
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
1.71 xG 0.32
43% Ball Possession 57%
26 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
238 Passes 354
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
40 Box Touches 9
28 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juventus (K) vs Fiorentina (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus (K) squeezed past Fiorentina (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Juventus (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Juventus (K) had 43% of the ball to Fiorentina (K)'s 57%, shots finished 26-6, expected goals 1.71 to 0.32 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Juventus (K)'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Juventus (K) and 0.83 for Fiorentina (K).

What was the final score of Juventus (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Juventus (K) 1-0 Fiorentina (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Juventus (K) 62%, draw 18%, Fiorentina (K) 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juventus (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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