Fiorentina (K) 3-1 Juventus (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
48%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
35%
-6.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
48%
Away Win
39%
+8.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.44/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.88
-45% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +116% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
8.6 Crosses 20.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina (K)
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Juventus (K)
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.68 xG 1.44
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
285 Passes 330
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.03.2025 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
15.12.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 0-3 HT 0-0 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) İTKSA
30.09.2024 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 4-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
06.05.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) İTKSA
30.03.2024 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
09.03.2024 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 1-3 HT 1-2 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina (K)
3-1
AWAY Juventus (K)
2.49 xG 1.86
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
318 Passes 317
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
29 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 40
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fiorentina (K) vs Juventus (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina (K) got the better of Juventus (K) 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Juventus (K) at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Fiorentina (K) had 49% of the ball to Juventus (K)'s 51%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 2.49 to 1.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus (K) led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fiorentina (K) and 2.33 for Juventus (K).

What was the final score of Fiorentina (K) vs Juventus (K)?

Fiorentina (K) 3-1 Juventus (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina (K) vs Juventus (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Juventus (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina (K) 28%, draw 24%, Juventus (K) 48%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Juventus (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Juventus (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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