AC Milan (K) 1-4 Inter Milano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
47%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.1
Over 2.5
61%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
47%
Away Win
41%
+6.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.5pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Milan (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Milano (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -53% / -53%
1.83/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.11
+143% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
14.1 Crosses 25.6
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AC Milan (K)
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Inter Milano (K)
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.94 xG 1.75
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
249 Passes 328
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2025 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) 3-3 HT 2-1 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
08.12.2024 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) İTKSA
22.09.2024 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
18.02.2024 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) 2-1 HT 2-1 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AC Milan (K)
1-4
AWAY Inter Milano (K)
1.49 xG 2.59
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
348 Passes 305
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AC Milan (K) vs Inter Milano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Milano (K) swept aside AC Milan (K) 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Inter Milano (K) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, AC Milan (K) had 52% of the ball to Inter Milano (K)'s 48%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.49 to 2.59.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, AC Milan (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for AC Milan (K) and 1.50 for Inter Milano (K).

What was the final score of AC Milan (K) vs Inter Milano (K)?

AC Milan (K) 1-4 Inter Milano (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Milan (K) vs Inter Milano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Milano (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split AC Milan (K) 29%, draw 23%, Inter Milano (K) 47%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Milano (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Milano (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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