Juventus (K) 0-2 Fiorentina (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
27%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-10.8pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.0pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus (K) EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.33/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.29
+41% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -46%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
18.8 Crosses 14.7
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus (K)
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.53 xG 0.77
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
366 Passes 262
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 0-3 HT 0-0 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) İTKSA
30.09.2024 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 4-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
06.05.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) İTKSA
30.03.2024 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
09.03.2024 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 1-3 HT 1-2 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKK
29.01.2024 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 2-2 HT 1-2 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus (K)
0-2
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
1.17 xG 0.69
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
310 Passes 297
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Juventus (K) vs Fiorentina (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina (K) got the better of Juventus (K) 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Juventus (K) at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Juventus (K) had 52% of the ball to Fiorentina (K)'s 48%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.17 to 0.69 — the balance of chances actually favoured Juventus (K).

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus (K) had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Juventus (K) and 0.83 for Fiorentina (K).

What was the final score of Juventus (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Juventus (K) 0-2 Fiorentina (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Juventus (K) 53%, draw 24%, Fiorentina (K) 23%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Juventus (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Juventus (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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