Juventus (K) 4-0 Fiorentina (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
15%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.38
Over 2.5
60%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
30%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
58%
+4.7pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.2pp
15%
Away Win
20%
-4.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.9pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 23%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.28/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/3.08
+9% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / -30%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
21.2 Crosses 21.0
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus (K)
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.24 xG 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
415 Passes 261
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.05.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) İTKSA
30.03.2024 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
09.03.2024 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 1-3 HT 1-2 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKK
29.01.2024 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 2-2 HT 1-2 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus (K)
4-0
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
1.46 xG 0.66
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
280 Passes 319
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juventus (K) vs Fiorentina (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus (K) swept aside Fiorentina (K) 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Juventus (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Juventus (K) had 47% of the ball to Fiorentina (K)'s 53%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.46 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Juventus (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Juventus (K) and 1.25 for Fiorentina (K).

What was the final score of Juventus (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Juventus (K) 4-0 Fiorentina (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Juventus (K) 63%, draw 22%, Fiorentina (K) 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juventus (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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