Rot-Weiss Essen 2-3 Energie Cottbus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.8pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.89/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.73
+17% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
15.0 Crosses 19.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Energie Cottbus
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
186 Passes 466
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.04.2025 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 0-1 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
02.11.2024 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 4-0 HT 2-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
04.08.2007 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 HT 0-1 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AFK
09.09.2006 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-0 HT 0-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AFK
19.08.2005 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-2 HT 1-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AFK
18.02.2005 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 0-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
2-3
AWAY Energie Cottbus
72% Ball Possession 28%
21 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 1
509 Passes 151
88% Pass Accuracy 66%
43 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Essen vs Energie Cottbus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Energie Cottbus squeezed past Rot-Weiss Essen 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Rot-Weiss Essen at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Essen had 72% of the ball to Energie Cottbus's 28%, shots finished 21-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Essen had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen and 0.50 for Energie Cottbus.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Energie Cottbus?

Rot-Weiss Essen 2-3 Energie Cottbus in the Germany - 3rd Division on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Energie Cottbus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 42%, draw 23%, Energie Cottbus 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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