Energie Cottbus 0-1 Rot-Weiss Essen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 9 Apr 2025

Energie Cottbus
0-1 HT 0-1
Rot-Weiss Essen
📅09/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Energie Cottbus vs Rot-Weiss Essen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.09
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.94
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.94
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
17%
5.29
X/2
11%
7.09
X/X
9%
5.38
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
22.9
2/2
13%
4.64
2/X
5%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.9 — our 7% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
44%
+5.7pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.6pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.7pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Energie Cottbus v Rot-Weiss Essen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.95/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.49
+20% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.9 Crosses 19.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Energie Cottbus vs Rot-Weiss Essen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Energie Cottbus
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
71% Ball Possession 29%
11 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
528 Passes 166
88% Pass Accuracy 67%
36 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.11.2024 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 4-0 HT 2-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
04.08.2007 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 HT 0-1 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AFK
09.09.2006 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-0 HT 0-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AFK
19.08.2005 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-2 HT 1-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AFK
18.02.2005 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 0-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL2
19.09.2004 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 4-2 HT 1-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2

Energie Cottbus 0-1 Rot-Weiss Essen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Energie Cottbus
0-1
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 8
404 Passes 205
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Energie Cottbus vs Rot-Weiss Essen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Essen nicked a narrow win over Energie Cottbus 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Energie Cottbus at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Energie Cottbus had 62% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Essen's 38%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Essen led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Energie Cottbus and 2.00 for Rot-Weiss Essen.

What was the final score of Energie Cottbus vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Energie Cottbus 0-1 Rot-Weiss Essen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Energie Cottbus vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Energie Cottbus win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Energie Cottbus 50%, draw 21%, Rot-Weiss Essen 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Energie Cottbus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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