Dynamo Dresden 2-2 Ingolstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.39
2-3 Goals
40%
2.04
4-5 Goals
26%
2.76
6+ Goals
13%
6.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.32
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
16%
4.78
X/2
8%
8.84
X/X
13%
6.26
2/1
7%
19.95
2/2
11%
5.97
2/X
8%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.5pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.5pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.81/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.77
+2% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
27.0 Crosses 19.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Dresden
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ingolstadt
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.45 xG 1.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
436 Passes 210
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
9 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-1 HT 1-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
04.02.2024 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-1 HT 2-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
02.09.2023 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 2-0 HT 0-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
20.03.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-3 HT 1-2 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
17.09.2022 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-1 HT 1-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
18.12.2021 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 3-0 HT 2-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Dresden
2-2
AWAY Ingolstadt
64% Ball Possession 36%
23 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
370 Passes 187
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
36 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Dynamo Dresden vs Ingolstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Dresden and Ingolstadt shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dynamo Dresden at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dynamo Dresden had 64% of the ball to Ingolstadt's 36%, shots finished 23-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dynamo Dresden and 1.50 for Ingolstadt.

What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs Ingolstadt?

Dynamo Dresden 2-2 Ingolstadt in the Germany - 3rd Division on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Dresden vs Ingolstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Dresden 47%, draw 28%, Ingolstadt 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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