Ingolstadt 1-1 Dynamo Dresden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 2 Nov 2024

Ingolstadt
1-1 HT 1-0
Dynamo Dresden
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Ingolstadt vs Dynamo Dresden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
24%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
7.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.06
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
22.7
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
9%
6.49
X/2
13%
5.2
X/X
13%
5.62
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
21%
2.98
2/X
5%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.7 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
33%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.0pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ingolstadt v Dynamo Dresden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 46%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -14%
1.66/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.03
+18% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +22%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
26.6 Crosses 21.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

Ingolstadt vs Dynamo Dresden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ingolstadt
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.19 xG 0.93
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
162 Passes 497
63% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.02.2024 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-1 HT 2-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
02.09.2023 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 2-0 HT 0-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
20.03.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-3 HT 1-2 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
17.09.2022 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-1 HT 1-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
18.12.2021 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 3-0 HT 2-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
24.07.2021 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 3-0 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2

Ingolstadt 1-1 Dynamo Dresden — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ingolstadt
1-1
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
287 Passes 349
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Ingolstadt vs Dynamo Dresden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ingolstadt and Dynamo Dresden couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Dynamo Dresden at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Ingolstadt had 46% of the ball to Dynamo Dresden's 54%, shots finished 19-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Dresden led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ingolstadt and 1.67 for Dynamo Dresden.

What was the final score of Ingolstadt vs Dynamo Dresden?

Ingolstadt 1-1 Dynamo Dresden in the Germany - 3rd Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ingolstadt vs Dynamo Dresden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt 32%, draw 25%, Dynamo Dresden 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dynamo Dresden), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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